Polls & Personalities Keep Campaigns Guessing Until the End

Polls & Personalities Keep Campaigns Guessing Until the End


Leaks allegedly coming from the Obama campaign, along with a new AP poll, suggest a Democratic win is not as sure as people may think.

The latest AP poll shows the candidates in a dead heat, with Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent. While this could suggest that McCain's latest Joe-the-Plumber narrative has struck a cord, some point to the methodology as reason for caution. Evangelical Christians make up 44 percent of the poll sample, while they just made up 23 percent of 2004 voters.

Meanwhile yesterday, a rumor broke that Obama's internal poll numbers from Pennsylvania put him only two points ahead. The rumor has not been corroborated, but either way I'm sure the Obama camp is not taking any swing state for granted.

Despite this apparent good news, things don't appear so rosy in the McCain campaign. NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd gave a candid assessment of the mood during his network's interview with the Republican ticket. Todd said:

[T]he chemistry is just not there. You do wonder, is John McCain starting to blame her for things? Blaming himself? Is she blaming him? And maybe they don't feel they can win right now, so they are missing that intensity. That was the thing that struck me more than anything. You almost wonder why they wanted the two of them sitting next to each other.

To see a clip of Brian Williams' interview with Palin and McCain, read more.

You can watch the full interview here.

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