According to new Census Bureau projections, ethnic and racial minorities won't be that way for very long. The census calculates that by 2042, Americans who consider themselves a minority including Hispanic, black, and Asian will in combination outnumber non-Hispanic whites. Even earlier, minority children will be the majority by 2023.
The change happened quicker than previously expected, one reason being significantly higher birthrates among immigrants. Also projections of the growing influx of foreign-born immigrants show it's set to rise from 1.3 million per year now to 2 million per year by the mid-2000s, and the aging and dying of the less prolific whites. It's like a melting pot on speed; a demographer says, “no other country has experienced such rapid racial and ethnic change.”
To see what this means for the state of the population, read more.
Some states have already made the shift, with "minorities" becoming "majorities," like in CA and TX. The way we talk and report about race will follow suit. Chief Census Bureau projector says, “The way people report race 20 or 30 years from now may be very different."
Perhaps more interesting than the shift in racial makeup is the sheer growth in population: they're predicting the total US population will top 400 million in 2039, a couple of decades earlier than previously thought. Where will all those people go? Is it time to start building more condos? How will the bigger population and greater diversity affect the country?









Temperley London
Marc O'Polo
GHD
Whites are already a minority in Los Angeles. I believe there are more people of hispanic/latino descent. Hasn't changed my life!
1I can't wait to see the white supremacist campaign, urging us to become more "prolific" to keep up with our immigrant neighbors' higher birthrates.
2Hispanics are already the majority in Texas, as well. I kinda like being a minority
3Change we can live with.
4Oh, I forgot...does this mean I will qualify for affirmative action? Because I could really use an undeserved promotion.
5You know that once everyone is brown we'll be argueing about what shade is supperior. People just can't let that $#!+ go.
6So like...
...is this the real reason behind certain segments of the radical right wanting to ban or at least severely restrict contraception and abortion access? Last-ditch attempt to get the majority birthrate up by any means necessary?
(I'm 95% kidding.)
7But that 5% truth is not to be discounted.
8Sounds good to me. I grew up in TX and now live in LA. What I love most about growing up in Texas was that I didn't feel like a minority and what I love about LA is that I was introduced to such a diverse community of people, cultures, and not to mention food. I think food will be the great uniter! Yes, I often think with my stomach.
9There is plenty of room in the US for all the growth. Anyone been to South Dakota recently?
Anyway, I grew up in So Cal and now live in DC so feeling like a "minority" in terms of numbers is nothing new.
My only problem is with the illegal immigrant aspect of all this. Most illegal immigrants are hardly well off, and if they're having a lot of kids, the math behind that just isn't good.
10Hispanics are not the majority in Texas. Whites are still the plurality, not majority though. All the other minority groups outnumber the total of whites. Meaning, as a whole there are more minorities than whites in Texas, but whites are still the largest single ethnicity.
11Majority, to me, is measured by power, no people - so I think it is safe to say whites will still be a "majority" by 2050.
12majority has nothing to do with power zeze. You can say you think whites will be in power then, but that has nothing to do with numbers.
I would like to know when race will no longer be an issues. Seriously, shouldn't there more interracial couples by now? Mix things up and everyone will be a minority!
13Interesting point, Zeze!
"what I love about LA is that I was introduced to such a diverse community of people, cultures, and not to mention food. I think food will be the great uniter!"
I completely agree!
14Haha nice one Torg. Speaking of minorities and affirmative action, I think votes for Barack Obama should count a just a little more. You know, give him a little extra help for being a minority.
15Organic, for once we totally agree!
16
So should Hillary's votes count "just a little more" since she is a token minority?
17I was kidding!
18Organic, I was thinking votes for Obama could count as three fifths of a vote...
19Moving back to norway sounds better and better everyday.....
20what does Norway have to do with anything?
21Hmmm, moving back to Norway sounds better and better everyday. Yup, that sentence is indecipherable!
22Yes, I won't be a minority anymore. YEAH!!!
23I still will be, but if I minded that, I'd be living in Taiwan anyway.
24Someone didn't get the memo.
25Well judging by some comments above i only hope that society will become more open and less xenophobic and racist.
26This sounds good to me. So we are truly the melting pot of diverse people, ideas and cultures. How could anything bad come out of that?
27joke people, joke. good lord
28And I was joking as well, hence the
Wow.
29oops! re: texas. i wouldn't be surprised if it changes here after the next census, though.
30Me neither jen!
31Steph, you didn't have a problem with the other one? Calling someone dumb?
32"what does Norway have to do with anything?"
Is this the comment being talked about? Where does anyone call anyone else dumb? (NOT trying to be snarky... just wondering if there was a comment removed?)
33Big comment removed.
34I'm sorry but...have you ever driven more than an hour outside of any major city? You quickly find open, empty land...soo...we're going to just have to build more suburbs rather than cramming people into the big cities and build better public transportation to get those people into the cities.
35Damn, and I missed it.
I am looking forward to trolling the web tonight to see what kind of freak-out responses this story got. For some reason even the UK papers online felt the need to make this a BIG STORY!!
But then again, it is a TOTAL crisis - I mean, what will they do with all those unwanted baseball caps and Bon Jovi albums in 2040?
36ha, rabid! I too always miss the awesome comments that spark so much discussion!
... shoot!
37Wasn't dealing with the merits of the original argument GS, just pointing out that the period jab is a new low.
38I have GOT to start getting up before noon. I missed the whole drama! I wish I could see what got deleted
39I must be evil because I actually thought it was pretty funny. But then again I think lots of inappropriate stuff is hilarious. It gets me into trouble.
40Steph, she actually was on her period. Said so in one of her blogs. Anyway, I don't think that's any lower than calling somebody stupid. Obviously, the moderators thought both comments were too low.
And I'm glad you appreciated it, pop.
41Check your private messages, Michelin.
42Whoops. Jude, you win subtletly points. I never think of PM-ing anyone.
In this case would it be PMS-ing someone? Muahaha.
43Oh, it's okay--I PMed her a totally different post anyway (the one where someone was called stupid for "failing to miss a post," which incidentally wins today's Best Turn of Phrase award
).
And I actually spelled out "private message" to avoid PMS puns!
44*I meant "failing to miss the point."
45I know! I thought that was funny too. The other person is stupid even though you just accused her of "completely failing to miss the point". Those double negatives can be tricky.
46Oooh! oOOH! PM it to me!
47i'm VERY bored today. entertain me!
48I miss everything good.
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